非均质土坝稳定性的渗流场和应力场耦合分析

綦于多孔介质的渗流特性和土的非线性本构关系，研究了渗流场与应力场的耦合效应，并针对一实际十坝建立了非线性耦合分析模型，探讨了位于软基之上的非均质土坝的渗流与应力耦合规律。分析结果表明，在渗流作用下，坝休和坝基中渗流与应力的相互作用是不应忽视的，其作用结果将会使土坝、特别足防渗心端附近应力水平和渗透坡降均有不同程度的提高，表明考虑渗流场和应力场耦合作用的计算结果对土坝稳定安全性不利。     

淮河息县站流量概率预报模型研究

应用美国天气局采用的由Roman Krzysztofowicz开发的贝叶斯统计理论建立概率水文预报理论框架，即以分布函数形式定量地描述水文预报不确定度，研究了淮河息县站流量概率预报模型。理论和经验表明，概率预报至少与确定性预报一样有价值，特别当预报不确定度较大时，概率预报比现行确定性预报具有更高的经济价值。     

利用VB编程完成基点网联测中的各项计算

整套重力计算程序包括了除“地改”以外的所有项目的计算，在这篇文章中我们先仅介绍了“测区参数初始化”及“基点网联测”(采用三程小循环方式)的计算方法。“测区参数初始化”功能可生成gdw．csh初始化文件(该套程序的各项功能都要读取该文件中的相关参量)；“基点网联测”功能可计算基点网联测的各项精度，对联测进行平差，求出各分基点绝对重力值。     

Impact of habitat heterogeneity on plant community pattern in Gurbantunggut Desert

1IntroductionStudy on the interrelationship between vegetation patterns and their habitat heterogeneity is important to recover and rehabilitate the desert vegetation, stabilize the desert ecosystem and prevent desert expansion. Domestic and foreign researchers have carried out many studies on this topic (Archer etal., 2002; Bolling etal., 2000; Chen etal., 2003; Dasti etal., 1994; Gu etal., 2002, Li etal., 2001; Li etal., 2001; Liang etal., 2003), which have used and refined statistic tech…     

基于EM算法和单幅雷达图像阴影的控制点坡度校正

对在我国现有的条件下进行控制点坡度校正的必要性进行了阐述，并分析了EM算法。根据EM算法以及基于区域增长的余弦散射模型建立了控制点坡度校正模型，并用河北省张北地区的雷达影像进行了实验，取得了较高的精度初值。     

Migrating pingos in the permafrost region of the Tibetan Plateau, China and their hazard along the Golmud–Lhasa railway

Most pingos in the permafrost region of the high northern Tibetan Plateau form along active fault zones and many change position annually along the zones and thus appear to migrate. The fault zones conduct geothermal heat, which thins permafrost, and control cool to hot springs in the region. They maintain ground-water circulation through broken rock in an open system to supply water for pingo growth during the winter in overlying fluvial and lacustrian deposits. Springs remain after the pingos thaw in the summer. Fault movement, earthquakes and man's activities cause the water pathways supplying pingos to shift and consequently the pingos migrate.

The hazard posed to the new Golmud–Lhasa railway across the plateau by migrating pingos is restricted to active fault zones, but is serious, as these zones are common and generate large earthquakes. Pingos have damaged the highway and the oil pipeline adjacent to the railway since 2001. One caused tilting and breaking of a bridge pier and destroyed a highway bridge across the Chumaerhe fault. Another has already caused minor damage to a new railway bridge. Furthermore, the construction of a bridge pier in the North Wuli fault zone in July–August 2003 created a conduit for a new spring, which created a pingo during the following winter. Measures taken to drain the ground-water via a tunnel worked well and prevented damage before the railway tracks were laid. However, pier vibrations from subsequent train motion disrupted the drain and led to new springs, which may induce further pingo growth beneath the bridge.

The migrating pingos result from active fault movement promoting artesian ground-water circulation and changing water pathways under the seasonal temperature variations in the permafrost region. They pose a serious hazard to railway construction, which, in turn can further disturb the ground-water conduits and affect pingo migration.     

一种顾及有色噪声的四星座GNSS动态导航滤波算法

经典Kalman滤波要求噪声是高斯白噪声，而动态GNSS定位的观测误差和状态预测误差往往是有色噪声。本文提出一种简便的有色噪声函数模型拟合滤波算法，采用前面历元的观测残差和状态残差建立有色噪声模型，削弱有色噪声对动态导航解算的影响。采用四星座GNSS接收机观测数据进行动态导航实验，结果表明，顾及有色噪声的动态导航滤波算法比未顾及有色噪声的经典Kalman滤波算法定位精度更高，三维位置精度提升9%以上。     

一种移动视频与地理场景的融合方法

快速准确地了解灾害现场状况是救灾过程中的重中之重。通常发生灾害都会使用无人机进行现场勘察，但是无人机视频难以与实际的地理场景关联起来，为此本文提出了一种移动视频与地理场景的融合方法。该方法首先采用具有仿射不变性的ASIFT算法检测特征点，将匹配后的特征点采用RANSAC算法进行迭代剔除噪点，计算视频与地理场景最优的透视变换矩阵模型参数；然后将计算得到的透视变换参数应用到视频数据，恢复视频角点坐标；最后通过内插得出所有视频帧的角点坐标，实现视频与DOM的精确融合。试验结果表明，对视频数据匹配的间隔帧越短，其整体融合精度越高，通过本文方法进行视频与地理场景融合的误差标准差低于10 m。     

GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水文模型在青藏高原的适定性分析

利用2003-01~2016-06共162个月 GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1、GLDAS_NOAH_M.001新旧水文模型和GRACE卫星重力数据，计算青藏高原区域水储量及总质量变化，说明GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水文模型相对于旧模型可提升在青藏高原区域的精度。将研究区域分为6个部分，根据3种数据分别计算6个区域的平均质量变化时间序列，顾及年周期、半年周期对该时间序列进行最小二乘拟合，估计6个区域3种数据的年振幅、年相位及相关性。结果表明，GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水储量变化的年振幅、年相位与GRACE总质量变化的年振幅、年相位空间分布大体一致，在青藏高原北部区域与GRACE的相关性尤为明显；GLDAS_NOAH_M.001年振幅、年相位在青藏高原北部区域存在明显异常，与GRACE的相关性很低。从长趋势质量变化来看， GLDAS新、旧模型在不同区域的差异为-6.4~4.5 Gt/a量级，而在青藏高原主体区域，新模型的质量趋势偏低10.4 Gt/a。     

基于线要素动态化简的匹配算法比较与评价

矢量线要素数据来源多样,细节层次不一,限制了已有匹配算法正确率的提高,同时也给算法评价带来困难。化简可以减少线要素细节层次,提取其主要形态,据此提出一种基于线要素动态化简的匹配算法评价新方法。对不同匹配算法采用相同数据,在相同化简算法支撑下进行匹配,从而实现对不同匹配算法的评价。首先,阐述动态化简方法提取线要素主要形态的过程;其次,利用动态化简分别辅助4种已有匹配算法,获取每个匹配算法的最优匹配正确率;最后,将4种匹配算法的原始匹配结果与加入动态化简后的匹配结果进行对比,分析化简对匹配结果的影响,并把该影响运用到匹配算法的比较和评价中来。其中,1通过匹配正确率变化、误匹配等分析了匹配算法的数据适用性;2通过化简比例系数K变化时新增匹配数量的统计,评价了匹配算法对线要素局部细节的敏感程度并提出该指标的量化方法;3结合匹配算法采用的匹配相似度指标对其作出评价。